Point Spread On Nfl Games
Posted : admin On 8/1/2022- Point Spread On Nfl Games Week 1
- Point Spread On Nfl Playoffs
- Point Spread On Nfl Games
- Point Spread On Nfl Games Today
If you place wagers on US sports, then chances are high that you’ve heard of point spreads. Here’s how they work; if a game has Patriots -9.0 and Vikings +9.0, the Patriots are 9.0 point favorites and the Vikings are 9.0 point underdogs. Unless otherwise stated, no matter which team you bet on, you’ll be required to risk $1.10 for each $1.00 you want to win. For Patriots bettors to prevail, they need their team to win by 10 or more points. A 9-point Patriot victory would be a push (a tie). For Vikings bettors to take home the victory, they need to either win the game or lose by less than 9 points.
- The point-spread was developed to provide a balance for both teams involved in a contest to entice bettors to potentially back the weaker team and receive points. The two squads in a game are listed with a title, either a favorite or an underdog.
- Get the latest NFL odds, spreads and betting lines from this week's games, as well as full coverage of the National Football League from USA TODAY.
Point spreads are used since most recreational bettors prefer to wager even money propositions. In the above example, if there was no point spread, only moneyline betting would exist. So, if odds makers are giving the New England Patriots a 73% chance of winning a game, then in order to take bets and still have a small profit margin, the bookmaker would have no choice but to require Patriot bettors to stake $3.00 or more for each $1.00 they want to win.
With a point spread, the odds are balanced, so you usually have to risk just $1.10 to win $1.00. This makes the point spreads appealing to recreational bettors, who often think it’s easy to make money from them. We have to be honest with you; it’s NOT easy, but it IS possible. The strategy we cover in this article should help!
Recommended ReadingWe’ve provided a brief explanation of point spreads in our introduction here, but if you’d like to know more about this type of wager then please read our beginner’s guide to betting point spreads.
Simple Tips for Point Spread Betting
There are three common NFL betting lines: the side, total and moneyline. Side: The side refers to the point spread. While the odds can fluctuate, most sides are -110, meaning you have to bet $110.
Strategy for betting point spreads is obviously different for each sport and league, but these four tips are general enough to apply to them all.
- Take Advantage of Bonus Offers
- Use Multiple Betting Sites
- Be Careful of Road Favorites
- Understand Key Numbers
Let’s go over each of these tips in a little more detail.
Take Advantage of Bonus Offers
One way to make money from sports betting is to open an account at an online betting site and take advantage of their sign up bonus. This gives you extra money to wager with, and since point spreads are so straightforward, it can be relatively easy to meet the associated wagering requirements and still come out ahead. Repeating this process at multiple betting sites will maximize your potential returns! We just ask that you please stick with reputable sites, like any of the ones that we recommend.
Use Multiple Betting Sites
We already mentioned how using multiple betting sites allows you to take advantage of multiple bonus offers. That’s not the only benefit either. Since point spreads vary between sites, one of the best ways to beat these wagers is to compare the different spreads in order to find which one is the most favorable. This doesn’t take nearly as long as you might think, and it will make a huge difference to your bottom line over time.
Let’s take a hypothetical game between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots as an example. One site might have the spread as follows.
Another site might offer a slightly different spread.
If you’re betting in favor of the Patriots, then you should be betting with Bookmaker A. If the Patriots win by more than seven points, then you’ll win with either bookmaker. However, if they win by exactly seven points, you’ll lose with Bookmaker B. With Bookmaker A, you’ll push and get your stake returned.
On the other hand, if you’re betting on the Bills, then Bookmaker B will be your best option. A Bills loss of exactly seven points would be a push at Bookmaker A, but it would be a win for you at Bookmaker B.
It’s only a half-point difference, and that might not seem like a lot. The bookmakers tend to be very accurate with their spreads though, and an extra half-point in your favor can easily add up to extra profits over time.
Be Careful of Road Favorites
Many novice bettors fail to understand the impact of home advantage when wagering on sport events. When looking at the board for potential wagers, these bettors tend to get excited and bet on lots of superior teams favored on the road against weaker opponents. The betting market is so much more advanced than this, and for the most part point spreads are always going to be 50/50 propositions.
Please NoteWe’re not saying that you should never bet on road favorites. Just make sure that you have good reasons to do so. Keep in mind; they don’t just need to win, they need to win by a greater margin than the spread suggests they will.
Understand Key Numbers
While understanding key numbers is beneficial for betting point spreads on any sport, key numbers are known for having the most significance in football. In NFL football, most games are decided by three or seven points. Therefore, when shopping the odds, the difference between -7.0 and -6.5 is far greater than the difference between -5.5 and -5.0.
With some betting sites odds, certain games are priced differently than risking $1.10 to win $1.00 (which is called -110 odds). For example, you might see the Giants priced at -105 and +7 in a game against the Jets. Now, you only have to risk $1.05 to win $1.00. This is obviously better odds, but it’s very likely that they will lose by exactly seven to give you a push. Taking -110 and +7.5 with an alternative bookmaker is actually the better bet.
Getting your head around these kind of intricacies, as well as knowing the relevant key numbers, is vital if you want to bet on the point spreads successfully.
Now that we’ve got the basic tips covered, we want to provide you with some point spread betting tips specific to two of the most popular US sports: football and basketball.
Point Spread Betting in Football
One of the best ways to beat football point spread betting is to use teasers. A teaser is a form of a parlay bet using modified point spreads. Each point spread you select is moved 6 points in your favor. For example, let’s say you’re interested in betting on the following.
A teaser would give you a single wager with the following spreads.
Point Spread On Nfl Games Week 1
Each selection is obviously easier to get right with the spread moved in your favor, but you do have to get all three correct in order for your wager to win.
Recommended ReadingIf you want to learn how to beat this form of wagering, you’ll definitely want to read our article on betting football teasers.
Another way to beat football point spreads is to shop for off market prices. For example, let’s say you’re shopping online betting sites and see every site is offering Vikings +7.0. Then, you stumble upon one site that’s offering +7.5. There’s a good chance that this is a +EV wager, simply because it is out of sync with every other site. Please note that this strategy isn’t quite the same as simply shopping for the best lines. Here, you’re specifically looking for wagers that are +EV because they’re against the market.
It’s also important to consider whether or not there’s any correlation between the point spread and the betting total. If they are, a parlay wager is a good way to get maximum value. For example, a college football point spread +24.5 parlayed with under 48 points in the same game might be a great parlay bet. If the +24.5 team covers the point spread, then there’s an increased chance that the game also goes under the posted total of 48.
Finally, you might want to think about learning the correct strategies for buying half-points in football. While many people are against this method, we’re here to tell you that there are some circumstances where buying points can be profitable.
Point Spread Betting in Basketball
Buying half points is a strategy that can work for basketball too. Most online betting sites offer bettors the ability to purchase half-points at 10 cents each. Let’s say the Lakers are -6.5 at odds of -110 for example. Here of some of the options you can expect to see.
A great strategy for betting basketball point spreads is to shop dozens of betting sites for the best line, and then purchase as many half points as possible (provided they are priced 10 cents each).
When using this strategy, it’s helpful to know the most common margins of victory in NBA basketball and how often they occur.
This information shows us that nearly half the games finish with one of the eight point margins listed, and this isn’t the result of variance. Some margins of victory occur more frequently than others because of end game strategy. The winning team is often found running the clock, while the losing team if often found intentionally fouling.
The key here is to target the point spread five and seven, because these are virtually tied as the most common margins of victory. It’s important to recognize that most betting sites are only willing to sell 2 or 3 half points for 10 cents each, after which point they start charging more. Some sites sell up to four half points at this price though.
To show how this can be exploited, take a point spread of -8.5 at odds of -110. This is a 50/50 proposition. Let’s assume you’ve purchased enough points to move the spread to -6.5 at odds of -150. Now, you’d win instead of lose 6.24% of the time they win by 8, and 6.59% of the time they win by 7. Add these together with the 50% from the original proposition, and we get 62.83%.
Go to our odds converter, and you’ll see that the implied probability of -150 is 60%. This means you need to win 60% of the time to break even. However, our handicapping shows the actual probability of winning is 62.38%.
If we risked $150 to win $100 on this -150 line, 62.38% of the time we would win $100. And 37.62% of the time we would lose $150. This gives us an expected profit of $5.95 for every $150 risked.
WarningIf you only make large +EV bets such as the basketball example above, betting sites will limit the amount you’re allowed to wager. It’s not uncommon for online bookmakers to spot a skilled bettor and say, “Okay you can keep wagering here, but the maximum you’re allowed to bet per game is $500.00.”
If you keep betting and winning, they might decrease your limits even further. That’s why we recommend trying to hide the fact that you’re so sharp. By placing some random wagers and occasionally spending some time at their casino, you’ll have a much better chance of staying under the radar.
This is also another good reason for using multiple sites. Since there are so many different reputable betting sites to choose from, it would take you a long time to get limited at every single one of them.
SportsbookGurus.com - NFL Sportsbooks - NFL Point Spreads
The NFL has established itself as one of the most popular American sports today. There are so many games during tough regular season that only the strongest survive and make it down the road to the Super Bowl. Many teams feel they have a shot while only one can call themselves Super Bowl Champions. NFL football has set the bar high for athletes all across the United States. Many NFL fans from all over the world have made some serious money wagering on the NFL games during the season and playoffs. This is because so many online sportsbooks offer tons of lines to people all across the world. One of the most common lines you will see is the NFL point spreads line.
You can find NFL point spread lines at almost all the best online sportsbooks.
These bets at online sportsbooks can be confusing if you new to the sportsbetting game, but are very comprehensible with a little review on the fine points. When you first begin looking around for lines, you will definitely run into these spread bets. A common betting line on a NFL point spread will look something like this: Kansas City Chiefs (+14) vs. New York Jets (-14). Kansas City is the underdog with the plus sign while New York is the Favorite with the minus sign. If we decided to bet on the Chiefs in this spread bet, they could win or lose but by no more than 14 points. If we took the Jets on this bet, they would have to win by 14 points. The spread is made to even out the lines between two uneven teams. It essentially makes it harder than moneyline bets because you have to factor in the point differential.
Also keep in mind that some points spread may be really low. If you have two really parallel teams going head to head, you can count on the NFL football point spreads to be real close. It may look something like this: Denver Broncos (+2 ½) vs. San Diego Chargers (-2 ½). This spread is essentially a field goal for the favorite to win. There are so many lines available that you will run into both large and small spreads every week.
The best thing to keep in mind for gambling on the NFL when looking at large spread bets is can the favorite really beat the underdog by the allotted points? When you are reviewing smaller spreads, you basically have to look for the better team since the spread is so small.
Remember that a spread is subject to change after it is posted. Many smart bettors make a point to get their bets in early during the week in order to keep the original spread. Many aspects can affect a certain spread throughout the week. These can be such things as injuries, records, home field, streaks, and a few other stats that the oddsmakers will most certainly take into consideration.
It is also the bettor’s job to take these things and factor them into their bets. I cannot stress enough how important these are for accurate betting. Good luck at the books and remember to bet responsibly.
Betting On Other Sports:
Point Spread On Nfl Playoffs
Betting On MMA NBA Betting NCAA Football Betting PGA Betting Betting On MLB
NCAA Basketball Betting Betting On The NFL Betting On NHL Games
Top Sportsbooks With NFL Point Spreads:
SportsBetting.ag Sportsbook
SportsBetting's online sportsbook offers a plethora of NFL point spread bets for all of their loyal customers. They post the NFL lines early in the week and offer every single NFL game played. This includes the playoffs as well as the Superbowl. SportsBetting.ag is now offering all new players a 25% lifetime bonus with a 5x times rollover requirement. The make depositing very easy on their sportsbook by accepting Visa and Mastercard credit cards as well as bank wires. SportsBetting.ag also sets the bar high with their fantastic and reliable customer service available at all hours through the week. Trust us, you will not be disappointed at SportsBetting.ag sportsbook on NFL Sunday.
Best Sportsbooks For Betting On NFL Point Spreads
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